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In this post I will argue that the “match point situation” (i.e., the situation in which your entire life is dictated by chance only), is an everyday’ situation for the researcher who uses Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) without controlling power.

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According to Rubin (1984), a Bayesianly justifiable analysis is one that “treats known values as observed values of random variables, treats unknown values as unobserved random variables, and calculates the conditional distribution of unknowns given knowns and model specifications using Bayes’ theorem”

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